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About me
Pro betting since 2001. Only real bets. I do not post to earn from subscriptions.
Member since: 2017-03-22
Last seen: 2d ago
Achievements
Top bookies Full stats
Top sports Full stats
Paid tips profit: +3.38
Paid tips yield: +10.6%
Average stake:6.8
Tips / month:9.9
Top position:#20
Average odds:2.43

MonthYieldProfitTotal tips
2019-04-100.0%-7.001
2019-03-25.6%-5.123
2019-02-6.0%-1.202
2019-01+91.9%+15.632
2018-12+83.0%+5.811
2018-11-100.0%-5.001
2018-10+86.5%+11.252
2018-06-50.5%-15.645
2018-05+65.0%+9.102
2018-04+11.0%+2.423
2018-03+44.5%+13.804
2018-02+26.6%+17.2810
2018-01-2.9%-5.6927
2017-12-18.2%-24.0517
2017-11+13.1%+6.667
2017-10+35.1%+61.1028
2017-09+42.9%+75.5227
2017-08+10.3%+2.994
2017-07-26.6%-9.315
2017-06-14.0%-17.2617
2017-05+6.7%+12.4128
2017-04+16.5%+20.9821
  

    Previous Tips

  • Publish date: 2017-11-24 22:48:14
    Event date: 2017-11-25 05:30:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Over 210 @1.92
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/25
    Over 210 @1.92
    8/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Over 210
    Odds: 1.92
    Stake: 8/10
    Now that is clear that Durant and Draymond are both out, line dropped by 5 points and I just don't agree with this. GSW is by all means still huge favourite and they can still cover -15 easily, but more importantly it will be less intense gameplay with Draymond out. Durant missing also means more shots for Curry and Clay and they can drop 60+ alone.
    Chicago will also try to keep up with GSW, as they should not like teams starting to rest players against them at this point of the season already.
    IMO the old line of 215,5 is a correct one during these circumstances.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-11-21 19:04:40
    Event date: 2017-11-23 21:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Under 153.5 @1.91
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/23
    Under 153.5 @1.91
    8/10
    Euroleague
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Under 153.5
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 8/10

    Bamberg with Trinchieri does not like to run and they usually see no point of doing that at home, too. They prefer slower tempo, but against teams like Barcelona or Olimpia you sometimes don't get a chance to play at your own tempo or the result forces to up the tempo.
    Valencia can run, but I already wrote this season - they prefer not to do it away. They lost three games in a row and I presume the first thing they will try to fix is defense. Last two games they lost against Barca and they were already much more active defensively in the second one.

    Playable to 151, if you can get the same line without OT, it's very valuable. 



    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-11-13 06:13:24
    Event date: 2017-11-14 05:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Trail Blazers @1.91
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/14
    Trail Blazers @1.91
    8/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Trail Blazers
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 8/10
    Blazers had rough last days, losing to Nets and Grizzlies in the final seconds. Nuggets on the other hand had a great week, winning against Magic, Thunder and Nets, all at home. 
    Lillard had 2 bad games in a row, shooting only 11/32 combined, he will surely have extra motivation to step up. Nurkic should also have additional motivation as always against Nuggets and Jokic. Portland needs this win more and I believe they will take it. They are kind of underrated due to last few games results only.

     


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-11-09 16:10:46
    Event date: 2017-11-10 02:00:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Lakers +11.0 @1.88
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/10
    Lakers +11.0 @1.88
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Lakers +11.0
    Odds: 1.88
    Stake: 6/10
    Lakers are b2b after the loss to Boston. But for now I will take all handicaps more than 10 on Lakers, as Luke Walton does a good job with them and they never give up easily and even losing they stay composed and will rarely lose big.Thus far they lost only 2 games with 11+ points. 
    Wall may want to destroy Ball, because he kind of failed to do that in first game against the Lakers (99:102 loss in OT) and he probably will. But I fully expect LAL as a team to stay close again.
    Standart bet.
    +11 @1.9 bet365


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-11-09 15:45:36
    Event date: 2017-11-09 19:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Valencia Over 75.5 @1.91
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/09
    Valencia Over 75.5 @1.91
    7/10
    Euroleague
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Valencia Over 75.5
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 7/10

    CSKA Moscow - Zalgiris Kaunas 94 : 91
    CSKA Moscow - VEF Riga 94 : 69
    CSKA Moscow Panathinaikos 81 : 63
    CSKA Moscow Saratov 93 : 66
    CSKA Moscow Tsmoki Minsk 90 : 54
    CSKA Moscow Olimpia Milano 93 : 84

    These are the results for CSKA at home. They love to run on their home court and have all the weapons to do just that, as their leaders Rodriguez and De Colo are brilliant on offense and mediocre (at best) on defense. You just can not stop them, but you can exploit their defensive shortcomings. CSKA scored 90+ in 5/6 home games and Valencia will have to keep up. They are also very capable on offense and still underrated Euroleague force. I expect them to give a good fight to CSKA and it would be close to impossible without scoring 75+. 



    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-11-03 18:09:39
    Event date: 2017-11-03 22:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Olympiakos Under 80.0 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/03
    Olympiakos Under 80.0 @1.93
    8/10
    Euroleague
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Olympiakos Under 80.0
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 8/10
    Yes, Barcelona plays faster at home, but OLY will surely try to play slower and prevent Barcelona from running. They did it past few years and will do it again. During last three years, Barcelona scored more than 80 once against Olympiakos. During this season still no team managed that. Public seem to think it's Barcelona's time to win, as the line moved pretty hard for Euroleague game. And it might be so, but this O/U line for Barcelona is now against all odds.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-11-01 14:42:24
    Event date: 2017-11-02 19:45:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Under 153 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/02
    Under 153 @1.93
    6/10
    Euroleague
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Under 153
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10
    Fenerbahce with Obradovic always gives priority to defence. But the key here is they play very good defence at home and Valencia likes to play slower pace away. 
    There is also even better 154.5 @unibet, 153.5 @bet365. (Not using either anymore.)

    Estimated correct total 148.5. Standart bet.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-30 15:35:21
    Event date: 2017-10-31 21:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Partizan +11.5 @1.94
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/31
    Partizan +11.5 @1.94
    6/10
    Eurocup
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Partizan +11.5
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 6/10
    Partizan went to France without new aquisition Samuels and without Velickovic, that is why they are 11.5 underdogs. But Novica is not as important anymore and Samuels has only played one game for Partizan. On the other hand, Miler and Aranitović will return to the team.
    Limoges is nothing special themselves with 3 wins and 4 losses in LNB and mediocre (at best) play in Eurocup.
    Partizan plays hard no matter who is on the floor and while they might be not so strong this year, they are playing much better already and will only improve. They lost the first Eurocup game against Alba by a big margin, but that was their only loss bigger than such handicap this season. 

    Estimated correct handicap +8.5. Standart bet.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-28 19:06:12
    Event date: 2017-10-29 04:00:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Lakers +10.5 @1.93
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/29
    Lakers +10.5 @1.93
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Lakers +10.5
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10
    This Lakers team showed they will fight every night, they lack real weapons and I do not expect them to become a really good team anytime soon, but they can certainly fight with most mid-tier teams. Jazz is a very good match-up for Lakers handi, as they play slow, they lack scoring and Rubio is suddenly one of their primary offensive weapons. Lonzo played a really bad game on his birthday yesterday, today will have an opportunity to make up for it.
    Quick look at the stats: Lakers lost by 10+ 1/5, Jazz won by 10+ 0/5.
    Standart bet.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-28 18:50:21
    Event date: 2017-10-29 13:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Murcia +12.5 @1.90
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/29
    Murcia +12.5 @1.90
    6/10
    Spain ACB
    Bet365
    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Murcia +12.5
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 6/10
    I presume sooner or later Barca will respond and start playing much better, but I believe they don't deserve such handicaps right now. Murcia also has additional motivation, as they have two former Barcelona players in Oleson and Faverani. They are just a solid team overall and I don't see them losing without putting up a good fight. Estimated correct handicap +9.5


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-28 13:10:48
    Event date: 2017-10-28 16:30:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Kolossos Rhodes @2.60
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/28
    Kolossos Rhodes @2.60
    7/10
    Greece
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Kolossos Rhodes
    Odds: 2.60
    Stake: 7/10
    AEK has almost whole new team and with coaching staff problems now should not be considered such heavy favourites away from home. Correct odds ±2.20, value.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-23 07:40:56
    Event date: 2017-10-24 05:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Kings Over 103.5 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/24
    Kings Over 103.5 @1.93
    8/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Kings Over 103.5
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 8/10
    This year Suns conceded 124, 130, 130 and all head coach Earl Watson could think of was "we should push the pace more". Now he is suddenly fired, but assistant temporarily took the job. 
    Kings is a balanced team and in other circumstances they could prefer lower tempo, but it still requires a really bad shooting night not to score 104+ against the Suns defense.

    The rest is from my pick below:
    Bookies still look at Sacramento as a very low level team, because last few (probably more) years they were just a big mess. But this year they have a promising young core + leadership of Z-Bo and Carter. They help this team much more than their stats show. George Hill is also very underrated efficient and disciplined player. Kings are still one of the worse teams in the loaded West, but they are a head above Suns at the moment.

    And 7h ago Bledsoe tweeted he wants out. Should I say more?


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-23 07:28:12
    Event date: 2017-10-24 05:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Kings +0.0 @2.05
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/24
    Kings +0.0 @2.05
    8/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Kings +0.0
    Odds: 2.05
    Stake: 8/10
    This pick is not so much about Suns, as they just can't play any worse and most probably will play a bit better, but about Kings. Bookies still look at Sacramento as a very low level team, because last few (probably more) years they were just a big mess. But this year they have a promising young core + leadership of Z-Bo and Carter. They help this team much more than their stats show. George Hill is also very underrated efficient and disciplined player. Kings are still one of the worse teams in the loaded West, but they are a head above Suns at the moment.

    Earl Watson is fired. 7h ago Bledsoe tweeted he wants out. Should I say more?


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-22 09:32:29
    Event date: 2017-10-22 22:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Hawks @2.24
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/22
    Hawks @2.24
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Hawks
    Odds: 2.24
    Stake: 6/10

    Atlanta is rebuilding, but they still have great coach and best player of both teams in Schroder. He will give hard time for Russell and in this game Nets will feel the absence of Lin much more than in the game against Magic.
    Nets can play decent if other team also refuses to defend, but this won't be the case with Hawks.
    It's a 45-55 game in favour of Hawks and value @2.24.



    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-22 07:35:21
    Event date: 2017-10-23 04:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Pelicans @1.60
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/23
    Pelicans @1.60
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Pelicans
    Odds: 1.60
    Stake: 6/10

    Pelicans had very bad matchups vs Memphis and GSW, now they have to take this game. Lakers are not as desperate now, they won against Suns and Lonzo hype can keep on living. But Pelicans are not Suns. Lakers is still one of the worst teams in the West and they just can't do anything against some defense. They have a decent young core, but at the same time they are not ready to challenge mid-tier teams and any game where opponent seriously needs a win will be difficult for them.

    Handicap -4 is just as good.



    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-22 07:33:07
    Event date: 2017-10-23 04:25:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Pelicans -4.0 @1.98
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/23
    Pelicans -4.0 @1.98
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Pelicans -4.0
    Odds: 1.98
    Stake: 6/10
    Pelicans had very bad matchups vs Memphis and GSW, now they have to take this game. Lakers are not as desperate now, they won against Suns and Lonzo hype can keep on living. But Pelicans are not Suns. Lakers is still one of the worst teams in the West and they just can't do anything against some defense. They have a decent young core, but at the same time they are not ready to challenge mid-tier teams and any game where opponent seriously needs a win will be difficult for them.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-21 06:32:53
    Event date: 2017-10-22 04:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Thunder @1.56
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/22
    Thunder @1.56
    7/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Thunder
    Odds: 1.56
    Stake: 7/10

    Early pick, but odds will drop. Rodney Hood suffered an injury and while it's not considered serious, he was not at full health before this one, so I expect him to miss at least this game. Without Hood, I see no way Jazz could keep up with OKC scoring wise, even playing the best defense they can.

    OKC may still lack chemistry, but being individually very capable, should beat shorthanded Jazz even on a bad night. They also rested while Jazz just finished the game.

    Handicap up to -4.0 playable, too.



    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-19 00:39:30
    Event date: 2017-10-19 05:00:00
    Stake: 5/10
    Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 @1.90
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 @1.90
    5/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Portland Trail Blazers -1.5
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10

    Portland has impressive record since they acquired Nurkic. This year they are basically the same team with great chemistry. Nurkic is probable, on Suns Len is doubtful. Portland is a much deeper and more experienced team, home court does not make this even.



    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-18 21:14:44
    Event date: 2017-10-19 02:30:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Over 204.0 @1.91
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Over 204.0 @1.91
    7/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Over 204.0
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 7/10

    Most of the bettors seem to jump on Bucks, 'cause of Hayward terrible injury and Celtics b2b after the trip. But I believe they are still slight favourites at home and b2b games at this point of the season is even a positive. 
    Milwaukee will play with Thon Maker at center and Celtics also play without "real" center, both play with extremely fast and versatile playmakers Irving and Antetokounmpo, I can't see how they would like to play positional basketball. I expect tempo pushing from both sides, many points off turnovers.
    Boston has to play fast, as they only have 2-3 players on their roster who are actually good on defense. They were only 8/32 on 3pt shots and should be much better at home tonight.



    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415

  • Publish date: 2017-10-16 21:32:23
    Event date: 2017-10-19 22:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Madrid Real @1.80
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Madrid Real @1.80
    8/10
    Euroleague
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    TheOne
    TheOne +11.1% (217)
    Pick: Madrid Real
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 8/10
    I already wrote about Real this season, they will only get better, as they have even better team than last season. Lluull is important missing, but Campazzo and Doncic sharing his minutes is not a bad deal. CSKA kept almost the same team also. Well, almost is the key word here. They lost Teodosic and even Sergio Rodriguez can't replace him completely. Other thing - whole Real team knows Rodriguez very well and will limit him easier than they could do with Teo. 
    Odds above 1.60 represents value and 1.8 just way too much. Handicap up to -3 playable, too.


    Tipsters Top: #20

    Profit: +164.68

    Yield: +11.1%

    Total Tips: 217

    Followers: 415