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About me
Pro betting since 2001. Only real bets. I do not post to earn from subscriptions.
Member since: 2017-03-22
Last seen: 6h ago
Achievements
Top bookies Full stats
Top sports Full stats
Paid tips profit: +3.38
Paid tips yield: +10.6%
Average stake:6.8
Tips / month:8.9
Top position:#17
Average odds:2.52

MonthYieldProfitTotal tips
2019-10+85.6%+4.281
2019-09+35.2%+17.2310
2019-08+91.0%+7.281
2019-05+3.9%+0.702
2019-04-100.0%-7.001
2019-03-25.6%-5.123
2019-02-6.0%-1.202
2019-01+91.9%+15.632
2018-12+83.0%+5.811
2018-11-100.0%-5.001
2018-10+86.5%+11.252
2018-06-50.5%-15.645
2018-05+65.0%+9.102
2018-04+11.0%+2.423
2018-03+44.5%+13.804
2018-02+26.6%+17.2810
2018-01-2.9%-5.6927
2017-12-18.2%-24.0517
2017-11+13.1%+6.667
2017-10+35.1%+61.1028
2017-09+42.9%+75.5227
2017-08+10.3%+2.994
2017-07-26.6%-9.315
2017-06-14.0%-17.2617
2017-05+6.7%+12.4128
2017-04+16.5%+20.9821
  

Active Tips

  • Publish date: 2019-06-25 12:08:40
    Event date: 2020-06-20 00:00:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Utah Jazz @31.00
    Active
    Starts in: 245 days
    Utah Jazz @31.00
    6/10
    North America - NBA. Winner
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    TonyBet
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Utah Jazz
    Odds: 31.00
    Stake: 6/10
    First of all - pure value in odds, as you will not find more than @26 anywhere else.

    I look at this as future investment, as Jazz only have to reach conference semis for this to be profitable later. And bookies are sleeping on them, expecting a few western teams to become powerhouses. But until this moment, they got the second best player (after Davis) in all the trades in Conley, who is easily one of top 5 'pure' PG in the league and will fit immediatelly without any doubt in mind.

    They have the best defender in the league and one of 3 best centers in the league (Gobert) and one of the brightest future league stars in Mitchell. 

    Overall, it's a very strongly underrated 'big 3' in a very solid organization with a great coaching staff. They will most probably fill all the remaining holes during the rest of offseason and odds will drop.
    Main favourites in the West have too many question marks and will have no real chemistry for a long time, and teams like Houston (very cap space limited with bad Paul contract), OKC, Blazers and even Denver have lower ceiling.
     


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444



    Previous Tips

  • Publish date: 2017-11-01 14:42:24
    Event date: 2017-11-02 19:45:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Under 153 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/02
    Under 153 @1.93
    6/10
    Euroleague
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Under 153
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10
    Fenerbahce with Obradovic always gives priority to defence. But the key here is they play very good defence at home and Valencia likes to play slower pace away. 
    There is also even better 154.5 @unibet, 153.5 @bet365. (Not using either anymore.)

    Estimated correct total 148.5. Standart bet.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-30 15:35:21
    Event date: 2017-10-31 21:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Partizan +11.5 @1.94
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/31
    Partizan +11.5 @1.94
    6/10
    Eurocup
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    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Partizan +11.5
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 6/10
    Partizan went to France without new aquisition Samuels and without Velickovic, that is why they are 11.5 underdogs. But Novica is not as important anymore and Samuels has only played one game for Partizan. On the other hand, Miler and Aranitović will return to the team.
    Limoges is nothing special themselves with 3 wins and 4 losses in LNB and mediocre (at best) play in Eurocup.
    Partizan plays hard no matter who is on the floor and while they might be not so strong this year, they are playing much better already and will only improve. They lost the first Eurocup game against Alba by a big margin, but that was their only loss bigger than such handicap this season. 

    Estimated correct handicap +8.5. Standart bet.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-28 19:06:12
    Event date: 2017-10-29 04:00:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Lakers +10.5 @1.93
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/29
    Lakers +10.5 @1.93
    6/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Lakers +10.5
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10
    This Lakers team showed they will fight every night, they lack real weapons and I do not expect them to become a really good team anytime soon, but they can certainly fight with most mid-tier teams. Jazz is a very good match-up for Lakers handi, as they play slow, they lack scoring and Rubio is suddenly one of their primary offensive weapons. Lonzo played a really bad game on his birthday yesterday, today will have an opportunity to make up for it.
    Quick look at the stats: Lakers lost by 10+ 1/5, Jazz won by 10+ 0/5.
    Standart bet.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-28 18:50:21
    Event date: 2017-10-29 13:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Murcia +12.5 @1.90
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/29
    Murcia +12.5 @1.90
    6/10
    Spain ACB
    Bet365
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Murcia +12.5
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 6/10
    I presume sooner or later Barca will respond and start playing much better, but I believe they don't deserve such handicaps right now. Murcia also has additional motivation, as they have two former Barcelona players in Oleson and Faverani. They are just a solid team overall and I don't see them losing without putting up a good fight. Estimated correct handicap +9.5


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-28 13:10:48
    Event date: 2017-10-28 16:30:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Kolossos Rhodes @2.60
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/28
    Kolossos Rhodes @2.60
    7/10
    Greece
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    Betfair
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Kolossos Rhodes
    Odds: 2.60
    Stake: 7/10
    AEK has almost whole new team and with coaching staff problems now should not be considered such heavy favourites away from home. Correct odds ±2.20, value.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-23 07:40:56
    Event date: 2017-10-24 05:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Kings Over 103.5 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/24
    Kings Over 103.5 @1.93
    8/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Kings Over 103.5
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 8/10
    This year Suns conceded 124, 130, 130 and all head coach Earl Watson could think of was "we should push the pace more". Now he is suddenly fired, but assistant temporarily took the job. 
    Kings is a balanced team and in other circumstances they could prefer lower tempo, but it still requires a really bad shooting night not to score 104+ against the Suns defense.

    The rest is from my pick below:
    Bookies still look at Sacramento as a very low level team, because last few (probably more) years they were just a big mess. But this year they have a promising young core + leadership of Z-Bo and Carter. They help this team much more than their stats show. George Hill is also very underrated efficient and disciplined player. Kings are still one of the worse teams in the loaded West, but they are a head above Suns at the moment.

    And 7h ago Bledsoe tweeted he wants out. Should I say more?


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-23 07:28:12
    Event date: 2017-10-24 05:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Kings +0.0 @2.05
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/24
    Kings +0.0 @2.05
    8/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Kings +0.0
    Odds: 2.05
    Stake: 8/10
    This pick is not so much about Suns, as they just can't play any worse and most probably will play a bit better, but about Kings. Bookies still look at Sacramento as a very low level team, because last few (probably more) years they were just a big mess. But this year they have a promising young core + leadership of Z-Bo and Carter. They help this team much more than their stats show. George Hill is also very underrated efficient and disciplined player. Kings are still one of the worse teams in the loaded West, but they are a head above Suns at the moment.

    Earl Watson is fired. 7h ago Bledsoe tweeted he wants out. Should I say more?


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-22 09:32:29
    Event date: 2017-10-22 22:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Hawks @2.24
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/22
    Hawks @2.24
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Hawks
    Odds: 2.24
    Stake: 6/10

    Atlanta is rebuilding, but they still have great coach and best player of both teams in Schroder. He will give hard time for Russell and in this game Nets will feel the absence of Lin much more than in the game against Magic.
    Nets can play decent if other team also refuses to defend, but this won't be the case with Hawks.
    It's a 45-55 game in favour of Hawks and value @2.24.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-22 07:35:21
    Event date: 2017-10-23 04:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Pelicans @1.60
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/23
    Pelicans @1.60
    6/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Pelicans
    Odds: 1.60
    Stake: 6/10

    Pelicans had very bad matchups vs Memphis and GSW, now they have to take this game. Lakers are not as desperate now, they won against Suns and Lonzo hype can keep on living. But Pelicans are not Suns. Lakers is still one of the worst teams in the West and they just can't do anything against some defense. They have a decent young core, but at the same time they are not ready to challenge mid-tier teams and any game where opponent seriously needs a win will be difficult for them.

    Handicap -4 is just as good.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-22 07:33:07
    Event date: 2017-10-23 04:25:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Pelicans -4.0 @1.98
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/23
    Pelicans -4.0 @1.98
    6/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Pelicans -4.0
    Odds: 1.98
    Stake: 6/10
    Pelicans had very bad matchups vs Memphis and GSW, now they have to take this game. Lakers are not as desperate now, they won against Suns and Lonzo hype can keep on living. But Pelicans are not Suns. Lakers is still one of the worst teams in the West and they just can't do anything against some defense. They have a decent young core, but at the same time they are not ready to challenge mid-tier teams and any game where opponent seriously needs a win will be difficult for them.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-21 06:32:53
    Event date: 2017-10-22 04:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Thunder @1.56
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/22
    Thunder @1.56
    7/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Thunder
    Odds: 1.56
    Stake: 7/10

    Early pick, but odds will drop. Rodney Hood suffered an injury and while it's not considered serious, he was not at full health before this one, so I expect him to miss at least this game. Without Hood, I see no way Jazz could keep up with OKC scoring wise, even playing the best defense they can.

    OKC may still lack chemistry, but being individually very capable, should beat shorthanded Jazz even on a bad night. They also rested while Jazz just finished the game.

    Handicap up to -4.0 playable, too.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-19 00:39:30
    Event date: 2017-10-19 05:00:00
    Stake: 5/10
    Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 @1.90
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 @1.90
    5/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Portland Trail Blazers -1.5
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10

    Portland has impressive record since they acquired Nurkic. This year they are basically the same team with great chemistry. Nurkic is probable, on Suns Len is doubtful. Portland is a much deeper and more experienced team, home court does not make this even.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-18 21:14:44
    Event date: 2017-10-19 02:30:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Over 204.0 @1.91
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Over 204.0 @1.91
    7/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Over 204.0
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 7/10

    Most of the bettors seem to jump on Bucks, 'cause of Hayward terrible injury and Celtics b2b after the trip. But I believe they are still slight favourites at home and b2b games at this point of the season is even a positive. 
    Milwaukee will play with Thon Maker at center and Celtics also play without "real" center, both play with extremely fast and versatile playmakers Irving and Antetokounmpo, I can't see how they would like to play positional basketball. I expect tempo pushing from both sides, many points off turnovers.
    Boston has to play fast, as they only have 2-3 players on their roster who are actually good on defense. They were only 8/32 on 3pt shots and should be much better at home tonight.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-16 21:32:23
    Event date: 2017-10-19 22:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Madrid Real @1.80
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Madrid Real @1.80
    8/10
    Euroleague
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    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Madrid Real
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 8/10
    I already wrote about Real this season, they will only get better, as they have even better team than last season. Lluull is important missing, but Campazzo and Doncic sharing his minutes is not a bad deal. CSKA kept almost the same team also. Well, almost is the key word here. They lost Teodosic and even Sergio Rodriguez can't replace him completely. Other thing - whole Real team knows Rodriguez very well and will limit him easier than they could do with Teo. 
    Odds above 1.60 represents value and 1.8 just way too much. Handicap up to -3 playable, too.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-16 18:19:46
    Event date: 2017-10-19 21:05:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Maccabi -3.5 @1.92
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Maccabi -3.5 @1.92
    7/10
    Euroleague
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    10bet
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Maccabi -3.5
    Odds: 1.92
    Stake: 7/10
    Both teams changed very heavily this offseason, got 13 new players apiece. The difference is Maccabi clearly changed for the better, Baskonia changed for worse. They look especially weak away from home, losing all 5 matches so far. Chemistry is still close to non-existant and losing in ACB game after game will not help either. 
    Maccabi surprised me a little bit by playing solid basketball right from the Euroleague start, but now I do not expect that to change in one week.
    It is always hard to play in Tel-Aviv and with what Baskonia showed so far, they have very little chances here.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-14 00:17:57
    Event date: 2017-10-14 02:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Knicks +7 @1.86
    Draw
    Ended 2017/10/14
    Knicks +7 @1.86
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Knicks +7
    Odds: 1.86
    Stake: 6/10
    Ok, Knicks is a terrible team, we all get that. But they are already 0-4 in preseason now it's a preseason finale and they play at home against Wizards without Wall and most probably very limited other main players. Wizards had a good preseason, they don't care about this game at all. Knicks on the other hand will probably have to wait for first win quite a bit if they don't take this one. IMO they will at least try pretty hard, as hard as it's reasonable in preseason. Kuzminskas will make preseason debut, Unicorn is still most probably out.


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-13 23:50:51
    Event date: 2017-10-14 05:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Under 207.0 @1.93
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/14
    Under 207.0 @1.93
    6/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Under 207.0
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10

    Clippers will sit out half of their team, Lakers will sit out some, too, Lonzo Ball included. I see this as a sloppy game with poor percentages, but still some fight shown by bench players, as Lakers vs Clippers is somehow more important than a simple preseason game.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-13 18:59:55
    Event date: 2017-10-13 20:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Over 155.0 @1.87
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/13
    Over 155.0 @1.87
    7/10
    Euroleague
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Over 155.0
    Odds: 1.87
    Stake: 7/10

    Khimki made adjustments this year and I expect them to play even faster. You just can't do otherwise with Shved as a leader.

    Valencia kept their core and and will give a good fight tonight. They are also very capable on offense and even if they try to slow down the tempo, I expect that there will be enough high scoring intervals to go Over the line.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-13 01:13:13
    Event date: 2017-10-13 02:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Under 206.0 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/13
    6/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Under 206.0
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10


    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444

  • Publish date: 2017-10-12 00:44:48
    Event date: 2017-10-12 20:00:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Real -5.0 @1.94
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/12
    Real -5.0 @1.94
    6/10
    Euroleague
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    TheOne
    TheOne +12.4% (231)
    Pick: Real -5.0
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 6/10

    Line already moved a bit, thus lower stake.
    Real kept absolutely ALL important players, they added Campazzo, Kuzmic and Causeur and are even better team this season. Real played 4 official matches after all international players came back to the club and they are ready and in good form now.

    Anadolu made some good signings, too - but then again, they changed the core completely by adding 10 new players. They are just not there yet to compete against one of the best teams in Euroleague. They will try to make it close at home, but 5 points loss is close to the best case scenario here for Efes. Comfortable 8-15+ Real win is what I expect.



    Tipsters Top: #17

    Profit: +194.17

    Yield: +12.4%

    Total Tips: 231

    Followers: 444