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About me
Pro betting since 2001. Only real bets. I do not post to earn from subscriptions.
Member since: 2017-03-22
Last seen: 9h ago
Achievements
Top bookies Full stats
Top sports Full stats
Paid tips profit: +3.38
Paid tips yield: +10.6%
Average stake:6.9
Tips / month:9.5
Top position:#21
Average odds:2.42

MonthYieldProfitTotal tips
2019-05-100.0%-8.001
2019-04-100.0%-7.001
2019-03-25.6%-5.123
2019-02-6.0%-1.202
2019-01+91.9%+15.632
2018-12+83.0%+5.811
2018-11-100.0%-5.001
2018-10+86.5%+11.252
2018-06-50.5%-15.645
2018-05+65.0%+9.102
2018-04+11.0%+2.423
2018-03+44.5%+13.804
2018-02+26.6%+17.2810
2018-01-2.9%-5.6927
2017-12-18.2%-24.0517
2017-11+13.1%+6.667
2017-10+35.1%+61.1028
2017-09+42.9%+75.5227
2017-08+10.3%+2.994
2017-07-26.6%-9.315
2017-06-14.0%-17.2617
2017-05+6.7%+12.4128
2017-04+16.5%+20.9821
  

Active Tips



    Previous Tips

  • Publish date: 2017-10-16 21:32:23
    Event date: 2017-10-19 22:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Madrid Real @1.80
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Madrid Real @1.80
    8/10
    Euroleague
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    Betfair
    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Madrid Real
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 8/10
    I already wrote about Real this season, they will only get better, as they have even better team than last season. Lluull is important missing, but Campazzo and Doncic sharing his minutes is not a bad deal. CSKA kept almost the same team also. Well, almost is the key word here. They lost Teodosic and even Sergio Rodriguez can't replace him completely. Other thing - whole Real team knows Rodriguez very well and will limit him easier than they could do with Teo. 
    Odds above 1.60 represents value and 1.8 just way too much. Handicap up to -3 playable, too.


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-16 18:19:46
    Event date: 2017-10-19 21:05:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Maccabi -3.5 @1.92
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/19
    Maccabi -3.5 @1.92
    7/10
    Euroleague
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Maccabi -3.5
    Odds: 1.92
    Stake: 7/10
    Both teams changed very heavily this offseason, got 13 new players apiece. The difference is Maccabi clearly changed for the better, Baskonia changed for worse. They look especially weak away from home, losing all 5 matches so far. Chemistry is still close to non-existant and losing in ACB game after game will not help either. 
    Maccabi surprised me a little bit by playing solid basketball right from the Euroleague start, but now I do not expect that to change in one week.
    It is always hard to play in Tel-Aviv and with what Baskonia showed so far, they have very little chances here.


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-14 00:17:57
    Event date: 2017-10-14 02:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Knicks +7 @1.86
    Draw
    Ended 2017/10/14
    Knicks +7 @1.86
    6/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Knicks +7
    Odds: 1.86
    Stake: 6/10
    Ok, Knicks is a terrible team, we all get that. But they are already 0-4 in preseason now it's a preseason finale and they play at home against Wizards without Wall and most probably very limited other main players. Wizards had a good preseason, they don't care about this game at all. Knicks on the other hand will probably have to wait for first win quite a bit if they don't take this one. IMO they will at least try pretty hard, as hard as it's reasonable in preseason. Kuzminskas will make preseason debut, Unicorn is still most probably out.


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-13 23:50:51
    Event date: 2017-10-14 05:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Under 207.0 @1.93
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/14
    Under 207.0 @1.93
    6/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Under 207.0
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10

    Clippers will sit out half of their team, Lakers will sit out some, too, Lonzo Ball included. I see this as a sloppy game with poor percentages, but still some fight shown by bench players, as Lakers vs Clippers is somehow more important than a simple preseason game.



    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-13 18:59:55
    Event date: 2017-10-13 20:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Over 155.0 @1.87
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/13
    Over 155.0 @1.87
    7/10
    Euroleague
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Over 155.0
    Odds: 1.87
    Stake: 7/10

    Khimki made adjustments this year and I expect them to play even faster. You just can't do otherwise with Shved as a leader.

    Valencia kept their core and and will give a good fight tonight. They are also very capable on offense and even if they try to slow down the tempo, I expect that there will be enough high scoring intervals to go Over the line.



    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-13 01:13:13
    Event date: 2017-10-13 02:30:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Under 206.0 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/13
    6/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Under 206.0
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 6/10


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-12 00:44:48
    Event date: 2017-10-12 20:00:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Real -5.0 @1.94
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/12
    Real -5.0 @1.94
    6/10
    Euroleague
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Real -5.0
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 6/10

    Line already moved a bit, thus lower stake.
    Real kept absolutely ALL important players, they added Campazzo, Kuzmic and Causeur and are even better team this season. Real played 4 official matches after all international players came back to the club and they are ready and in good form now.

    Anadolu made some good signings, too - but then again, they changed the core completely by adding 10 new players. They are just not there yet to compete against one of the best teams in Euroleague. They will try to make it close at home, but 5 points loss is close to the best case scenario here for Efes. Comfortable 8-15+ Real win is what I expect.



    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-11 23:35:59
    Event date: 2017-10-12 02:30:00
    Stake: 5/10
    76rs @3.20
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/12
    76rs @3.20
    5/10
    NBA
    Bet365
    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: 76rs
    Odds: 3.20
    Stake: 5/10

    While Nets are listed as home team, actually this will be played in neutral Nassau arena, 40km away from Brooklyn home arena. Nets are 3-0 in preseason, 76rs are 0-3. No team actually wants to be "preseason champion" and I think that is Blooklyn included :)
    Fultz is OUT today, but Embiid will play his first preseason game and 76rs tend to push much more when he is available. Just to show how much better team they actually are with him playing. He won't play long IMO, but in this case it does not matter much.
    76rs bench is certainly not worse than Nets and I think they want to win this meaningless game a bit more.



    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-11 14:26:42
    Event date: 2017-10-11 22:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Gran Canaria -7.5 @1.94
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/11
    Gran Canaria -7.5 @1.94
    7/10
    Eurocup
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Gran Canaria -7.5
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 7/10

    Gran Canaria historically is very strong at home. This season they have already beaten Real and Baskonia in convincing fashion. Most importantly they kept their core and are in much better form than most of the teams in Eurocup. 
    Zenit has a decent roster, really. The problem is, they also have 10 new players. That's a completely new team + Karasev father and son. I think they are not ready to challenge any good team right now and they showed it a few days ago, losing to Unics away 60-94.



    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-01 23:55:02
    Event date: 2017-10-02 03:30:00
    Stake: 3/10
    Hawks @3.40
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/02
    3/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Hawks
    Odds: 3.40
    Stake: 3/10
    Standart value bet.
    While Heat is much better team now, it's almost irrelevant here, as their second and third unit are not better and certainly not more motivated than young Hawks. Some value until @3.1


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-01 23:47:56
    Event date: 2017-10-02 05:00:00
    Stake: 5/10
    Under 211.0 @1.92
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/02
    Under 211.0 @1.92
    5/10
    NBA
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    Pinnacle
    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Under 211.0
    Odds: 1.92
    Stake: 5/10
    The first game of the preseason for both, will be played in neutral Honolulu arena, new for both teams. 


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-01 15:09:34
    Event date: 2017-10-01 19:30:00
    Stake: 1/10
    Andorra to win @9.00
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/01
    Andorra to win @9.00
    1/10
    Spain ACB
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Andorra to win
    Odds: 9.00
    Stake: 1/10
    Handicap is the main bet, but this is worth a shot - Real is still relatively weak now.


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-10-01 15:03:47
    Event date: 2017-10-01 19:30:00
    Stake: 7/10
    MoraBanc Andorra +14 @1.90
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/01
    MoraBanc Andorra +14 @1.90
    7/10
    Spain ACB
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: MoraBanc Andorra +14
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 7/10
    Last season they met 6 times and only one game Real covered. Andorra kept most of it's core and Real team still had not so much time to (re)build chemistry. I see correct handicap at 10.5 max, so there is value in 14.0

    28.05.17 Real Madrid - MoraBanc Andorra 95 : 84
    26.05.17 MoraBanc Andorra - Real Madrid 89 : 77
    24.05.17 Real Madrid - MoraBanc Andorra 107 : 76
    14.05.17 MoraBanc Andorra - Real Madrid 86 : 88
    16.02.17 Real Madrid - MoraBanc Andorra 99 : 93
    08.01.17 Real Madrid - MoraBanc Andorra 96 : 92


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-09-30 22:59:04
    Event date: 2017-10-01 03:30:00
    Stake: 5/10
    Denver Nuggets @3.91
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/01
    Denver Nuggets @3.91
    5/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Denver Nuggets
    Odds: 3.91
    Stake: 5/10
    Coach Steve Kerr said he expects everyone on the roster to play, which is pretty common, but it also saying "I couldn't care less about the outcome". And that is exactly true.
    Nuggets will probably don't care much either, but they have some position battles like this "The Nuggets are expected to alternate Jamal Murray and Emmanuel Mudiay as their starters for the first three preseason games" - that will give extra motivation for sure.

    Reserves will close this game, but I still expect Nuggets to be more hungry ones.


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-09-30 14:22:37
    Event date: 2017-09-30 21:00:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Zaragoza @3.40
    Lost
    Ended 2017/09/30
    Zaragoza @3.40
    6/10
    Spain ACB
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Zaragoza
    Odds: 3.40
    Stake: 6/10

    There is surely value with such odds @betfair.
    Yes, Obradoiro had better preseason, they depend on 3-point shooting very heavily and so it happened the shots were falling :) Main mission for Zaragoza is to limit Corbacho, Thomas, Simons and Bendzius on perimeter.

    Zaragoza on the other hand were not so good in preseason matches, but they signed Triguero and Gary Neal recently, so they could make quite an impact from the start. On paper Zaragoza is a better team in my opinion, they also have a better coach in Cuspinera (former Baskonia and Madrid Real) and although the chemistry will be lacking, I believe if they limit Obradoiro to 30% 3pts, they can take this home.



    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-09-30 01:27:51
    Event date: 2017-10-18 03:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Cavaliers -4.0 @1.96
    Lost
    Ended 2017/10/18
    Cavaliers -4.0 @1.96
    8/10
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Cavaliers -4.0
    Odds: 1.96
    Stake: 8/10
    Taking handicap and moneyline, too.

    This will be a very personal game for Lebron, Crowder and most of the CAVS as a whole. Bookies are well aware of that, so why I think the line is set wrong? This line should lead us to think it will be the same motivation for both teams. But it's not true. Celtics are calm, as is Kyrie - he will now have years to prove his real value. There is no sense of urgency here. 
    But Lebron will take this game personally and he will lead - more so than he would in any other opening game. Be sure that home crowd will take care of it's part, too.
    It is even a plus that Thomas will miss this game - Cavs chemistry, even with additions of Wade and Crowder will be many times better than Celtics, who lost (at least) half of their defensive potential, got completely new core and although they seem quite good on paper, but will look as a mess in the first game.
    I do not expect a blowout, although it is also a possibility - but I expect a solid victory in a convincing fashion. Anything above @1.5 for moneyline and handicap lower than 6.0 is very good. There is also -3.5 @coral and marathon @1.96  - I just don't use them.
    Early bet, as the line will move and presumably a lot.
     


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-09-30 01:25:44
    Event date: 2017-10-18 03:00:00
    Stake: 9/10
    Cavaliers @1.62
    Won
    Ended 2017/10/18
    Cavaliers @1.62
    9/10
    NBA
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Cavaliers
    Odds: 1.62
    Stake: 9/10
    This will be a very personal game for Lebron, Crowder and most of the CAVS as a whole. Bookies are well aware of that, so why I think the line is set wrong? This line should lead us to think it will be the same motivation for both teams. But it's not true. Celtics are calm, as is Kyrie - he will now have years to prove his real value. There is no sense of urgency here. 
    But Lebron will take this game personally and he will lead - more so than he would in any other opening game. Be sure that home crowd will take care of it's part, too.
    It is even a plus that Thomas will miss this game - Cavs chemistry, even with additions of Wade and Crowder will be many times better than Celtics, who have lost half of their defensive potential, got completely new core and although they seem quite good on paper, but will look as a mess in the first game.
    I do not expect a blowout, although it is also a possibility - but I expect a solid victory in a convincing fashion. Anything above @1.5 for moneyline and handicap lower than 6.0 is very good. There is also -3.5 @coral and marathon @1.96  - I just don't use them.
    Early bet, as the line will move and presumably a lot.

    @Betfair exchange
     


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-09-29 21:26:50
    Event date: 2017-09-29 22:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Barcelona -7.5 @1.90
    Lost
    Ended 2017/09/29
    Barcelona -7.5 @1.90
    7/10
    Spain ACB
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Barcelona -7.5
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 7/10


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-09-29 15:18:42
    Event date: 2017-09-29 19:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Lukoil Academic -5.5 @1.83
    Lost
    Ended 2017/09/29
    Lukoil Academic -5.5 @1.83
    8/10
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Lukoil Academic -5.5
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 8/10

    Lukoil Academic has some nice signings this yeer, including Anthony Raffa from Virtus and Keith Clanton from PAOK. They had an easy walk with Benfica and I rate this year's Juventus more or less similar level. Also weak away team historically and low level coaching.

    Anything up to -7.5 playable at medium stakes - in this format every point matters.



    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418

  • Publish date: 2017-09-27 13:35:02
    Event date: 2017-09-27 18:30:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Joventut to qualify @1.88
    Lost
    Ended 2017/09/27
    8/10
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    TheOne
    TheOne +10.5% (218)
    Pick: Joventut to qualify
    Odds: 1.88
    Stake: 8/10
    First round Joventut played a terrible game, made just 3/16 3pts and still were leading for 38 minutes. While Kataja has a nice team this year, it is still not on the same level as Joventut yet. The result of first game is a bit misleading and does not show real capabilities of both teams. Joventut has two new players since the last game Alex Ruoff and José Nogués.
    They also had a long trip with some problems with flights, but this won't play major role at this point of the season, IMO.

    Joventut has to win 4+ in order to qualify and honestly I see this as double digit victory. Kataja will fight hard, that is just not always enough :)


    Tipsters Top: #21

    Profit: +156.68

    Yield: +10.5%

    Total Tips: 218

    Followers: 418