TheOne

Standart statistical bet. Good spot.

Harden is questionable and with Lonzo and Lopez both out, it becomes value on under.

Paul George is out and both teams are back-to-back. FG% should be lower and OKC is one of the best defensive teams anyway. 
Without George, Westbrook should have high volume scoring night again, as he was 16-34 yesterday, and I expect much lower efficiency from him tonight.
Under 200 to be expected. Happy New Year!

Early pick, as odds will drop. Opening game of Christmas Day. 
Knicks very solid at home this season 15-5 and even better record when Porzingis is on court.
76ers only 7-9 away and Embiid (back) will be game-time decision and Redick (hamstring) is very questionable to play. 
Correct line estimated Knicks about -4.5.
 

OLY will most probably be again without Milutinov and Printezis, but that didn't stop them against mighty CSKA, so they should be ok in Turkey, too. Anadolu is one of the biggest disappointments in Euroleague this year, as they look just awful in most games and even on a good day they are just above average. OLY spirit is very high after win against CSKA and Spanoulis finally looks back in form. They will play very good defense as usual away and should keep Efes under 75, which should be enough to take a win.

CSKA scored over 80 in 19/20 this season matches. Now that Printezis is doubtful, OLY defense should not be so highly rated.

In last 10 games Baskonia failed to score 83+ only once and that was against Fenerbahce. Efes has second worst defense in Euroleague with an average of 84 PPG conceded - do not see how Baskonia running style would have problems to score tonight. 

Nothing new, just a quote:

GRANGER JAYSON
Baskonia Vitoria
"We must be solid in the first second of each possession, control the defensive rebounds and try to run. If we win this road game we could make a statement."

Pacers 10-4 at home, while Thunder is 3-10 away. And while OKC has what is supposed to be "big 3", they are struggling on offense and now they also have growing pressure with each game. Indiana is pretty impressive so far at home, as they just play good basketball without egos or difficult ball sharing.

Both teams struggling heavily, but would take Partizan at home against this years Bilbao any day with such odds. 

Once again perfect under situation, Olympiakos away against Trinchieri team. Around 145 points expected.

Rytas will play without Mavrokefalidis for a week, but they won against Zalgiris w/o him, team is overall in a pretty good form and very good spirits. I don't see them as such a heavy underdog, as despite good results Loko is not a super-team this season by any means. They won in Lithuania after OT and having 7-0 record, actually don't really need this win as much as lithuanians (4-3).

Rytas will play without Mavrokefalidis for a week, but they won against Zalgiris w/o him, team is overall in a pretty good form and very good spirits. I don't see them as such a heavy underdog, as despite good results Loko is not a super-team this season by any means. They won in Lithuania after OT and having 7-0 record, actually don't really need this win as much as lithuanians (4-3).

Might take ML, too, still contemplating.

 

Bulls play much better with Mirotic back and they will not just give this one away easily. Boston had a hard game against Detroit tonight and it's unlikely to keep defensive intensity so high second game in a row.

To put it short, I think they are going to struggle scoring more than 210 with both Wall and Booker unavailable. Wizards is also b2b.

After last game (win against the same Clippers 112-106) Jimmy Butler was unhappy they won only outscoring the opponent, not by playing consistant defense. We should remember it's still defensive mastermind's Tim Thibodeau team with one of the best defenders on the roster and they will start playing better defense sooner than later. They won against Clippers just barely at home and that should motivate young Minnesota guys to give much better effort on defense. Austin Rivers is an akward case in a leading scorers role, so that should certainly not happen again. 

Jankunas is questionable and without him Zalgiris has little chance against red hot Panathinaikos. The same also goes if he plays without being at 100%. With that being said, Zalgiris is very dangerous opponent at home, thus only standart stake.

The idea behind this is they always play lower scoring games against each other, even though Baskonia is much faster team in general. This total mostly reflects higher scoring games both had against oponents like Real, CSKA, Efes or Khimki. This is especially true for Baskonia, as they accept higher tempo any day. Different story with Unicaja, as they can only win against top spanish teams with defense.

05.11.17 Unicaja Baskonia 72 : 73
07.05.17 Baskonia Unicaja 75 : 79
30.10.16 Unicaja Baskonia 82 : 72
20.03.16 Baskonia Unicaja 56 : 83
25.10.15 Unicaja Baskonia 66 : 74

 

Only one game between these teams went over the given line in past 2 seasons - Suns b2b and emotional win against 76ers should also be a plus here. Standart bet.

Rytas coach stated that the main goal will be to stop Partizan fast attacks. And Partizan also started playing a bit better defense lately. This game is important for both teams and it's hard to see another run and gun game with barely any defense here.

Panathinaikos is solid on defense, as is Unicaja actually. The main reason total is bigger, is they played with higher paced teams like Real, CSKA or Efes recently.
H2H last 5 games only one time they went over and philosophy for both teams remained the same for this season, too - defense comes first.
It would be a bit different in Spain, but in Greece intensity will be higher and I don't see Unicaja having a chance by pushing the tempo. Their goal is to stay close and try to make a push in the end.

I see this as about 145 game with winner scoring about 75.